Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 5.996227 7.004411 8.096347 9.362714 10.786629 12.333864 14.137778
2026-01-11 4.588338 5.914783 7.464735 9.393417 11.711685 14.390660 17.701439
2026-01-18 3.602720 5.027746 6.796039 9.118933 12.054134 15.602033 20.172975
2026-01-25 2.930293 4.385653 6.288406 8.905621 12.352979 16.675510 22.433300
2026-02-01 2.410413 3.851203 5.827810 8.661986 12.535170 17.549407 24.422905
2026-02-08 2.007564 3.413494 5.431583 8.438364 12.687073 18.347002 26.304657
2026-02-15 1.667384 3.014574 5.035533 8.159182 12.714259 18.945825 27.913659
2026-02-22 1.472184 2.809882 4.895315 8.221824 13.203794 20.172667 30.396933
2026-03-01 1.299921 2.616592 4.747340 8.250130 13.629872 21.313208 32.788992
2026-03-08 1.160682 2.458810 4.635473 8.316298 14.102905 22.526450 35.314178
2026-03-15 1.029561 2.296171 4.496426 8.321914 14.473820 23.595074 37.658955
2026-03-22 0.953325 2.224092 4.500269 8.552959 15.196611 25.200101 40.825734
2026-03-29 0.871195 2.131240 4.461544 8.713560 15.822038 26.694089 43.899856
2026-04-05 0.780137 2.007197 4.354132 8.746991 16.240671 27.886311 46.562404
2026-04-12 0.663539 1.810859 4.092238 8.488224 16.159923 28.297004 48.050174
2026-04-19 0.569675 1.647893 3.874698 8.287083 16.155993 28.816481 49.707898
2026-04-26 0.485571 1.492051 3.652988 8.057410 16.083965 29.215392 51.180394
2026-05-03 0.414631 1.354320 3.451584 7.846665 16.026830 29.627043 52.674899
2026-05-10 0.349006 1.216621 3.233518 7.583644 15.857011 29.839495 53.849586
2026-05-17 0.316025 1.159279 3.182294 7.642651 16.265512 31.019200 56.604277
2026-05-24 0.284278 1.099185 3.118085 7.669317 16.613079 32.104448 59.232030
2026-05-31 0.258115 1.050118 3.073515 7.731653 17.027120 33.312599 62.090038
2026-06-07 0.231314 0.993474 3.004639 7.736944 17.331378 34.338944 64.671741